I can’t ignore Rory at this number or even higher in some other places.Ĭorey Conners (40 to 1) finished eighth at the Northern Trust despite losing over three strokes around and on the green combined. He had one really bad day that really killed his statistics but still managed to drive the ball well. Rory McIlroy (25 to 1) was inconsistent on his approach shots last week and it hurt him.
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Cashed a first-round leader bet on him last week and hope to cash a winner’s bet this week. He’s a notoriously good option in no-cut events and gained almost eight strokes when you combine his off the tee and approach stats at the Northern Trust. He admitted a 15-year-old playing partner encouraged him to go back to his old putter and it looks like he is comfortable. Justin Thomas (18 to 1 to win) looks to have figured out his putting problems after gaining over five strokes on the greens at the Northern Trust.
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Want a free The Athletic subscription? Sign up for BetMGM, bet $1, receive $100 in free bets and a free one-year subscription (or renewal) to The Athletic. Par 5 scoring will be key this week as the top 70 in the FedEx Cup Playoffs will be trying to finish inside the top 30 in the FedEx Cup Standings and make it to East Lake and the Tour Championship. Caves Valley Country Club is a Par 72 designed by Tom Fazio that measures over 7,500 yards and looks to be set up as a ball strikers course with a lot of risk and reward holes. Tony has had good results in the tournament the last few years and this particular course looks like it would fit him really well when he is at his best. Even though I didn’t back him from the start I was able to win some money by taking him at 11-1 on Monday.Īll along I was hoping to see some improvement from Tony so I could back him this week at the BMW. As I watched the coverage this week and got reports from the course from all of my friends that were in attendance I started to feel the FOMO (fear of missing out). Maybe it’s a case of me being too close to it as I always pull for Tony and my buddy Mark Urbanek on his bag.
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A lot of readers and friends in the industry were backing Tony before the tournament and I just couldn’t pull the trigger. He had continually let strokes go as he finished each nine and even as his putting numbers looked better he seemed to miss all the ones he really needed. Early in the season, it looked like a foregone conclusion that Tony was going to break through and notch another win as he piled up second-place finishes and showed off fantastic form, but somewhere along the line he got out of sync and couldn’t quite get back on track.īefore the tournament this week I was reluctant to back him because of his recent form, particularly with his irons, and the way he was closing out his nines. Before I get started breaking down the BMW Championship odds and pricing I want to take a moment to congratulate Tony Finau on his second win on the PGA Tour.